{"id":5743,"date":"2026-09-21T15:15:44","date_gmt":"2026-09-21T15:15:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tradertideinsights.com\/?p=5743"},"modified":"2026-09-21T15:15:44","modified_gmt":"2026-09-21T15:15:44","slug":"why-spacex-stock-is-up-over-2-on-monday","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tradertideinsights.com\/?p=5743","title":{"rendered":"Why SpaceX stock is up over 2% on Monday"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><\/div>\n<p>SpaceX (SPCX) stock rose in early trading Monday as its weighting in the Nasdaq-100 more than doubled in the index\u2019s quarterly rebalance.<\/p>\n<p>Shares were up around 2% near $156, extending the stock\u2019s recovery as the company moves into a period of heavier index exposure and several potential catalysts.<\/p>\n<p>SpaceX will account for 2.82% of the Nasdaq-100 when the quarterly rebalance takes effect Monday.<\/p>\n<p>The increase closes part of an unusual gap between SpaceX\u2019s market value and its influence on the index. <\/p>\n<p>The company is now the seventh-largest Nasdaq-100 constituent by market capitalization, with a value above $2 trillion, but its previous weighting ranked outside the index\u2019s top 20.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Passive funds add to SpaceX exposure<\/h2>\n<p>SpaceX\u2019s relatively low weighting dates back to its addition to the Nasdaq-100 in July.<\/p>\n<p>At the time, much of the company\u2019s stock remained subject to lockups and was unavailable for public trading. <\/p>\n<p>That limited its effective weighting, despite Nasdaq changing its rules to allow newly listed large-cap companies to enter the index sooner and removing a requirement that at least 10% of shares be publicly tradable.<\/p>\n<p>The higher weighting means passive funds tracking the Nasdaq-100 must adjust their holdings to reflect SpaceX\u2019s larger share of the benchmark.<\/p>\n<p>More than 200 investment products track the Nasdaq-100, with more than $800 billion in assets under management globally.<\/p>\n<p>The increased index weighting could therefore provide an additional source of demand for SpaceX shares as passive portfolios are rebalanced.<\/p>\n<p>But the stock still faces a potentially significant increase in available supply.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Lockups remain a major overhang<\/h2>\n<p>Unlike a conventional IPO with a <a href=\"https:\/\/invezz.com\/news\/2026\/09\/15\/why-spacex-stock-is-down-around-3-on-tuesday\/\">single 180-day lockup expiration<\/a>, SpaceX structured its prospectus around roughly a dozen dates on which insiders and other shareholders can become eligible to sell.<\/p>\n<p>That staggered schedule limits the amount of stock becoming available at any one time but has not removed the potential selling pressure.<\/p>\n<p>Shares fell around 3% during the latest major release after as many as 319 million Class A shares became eligible for trading. <\/p>\n<p>At recent prices, those shares were worth roughly $49 billion.<\/p>\n<p>Another 59.1 million affiliate shares became unlocked the following day.<\/p>\n<p>More releases are scheduled through the remainder of 2026.<\/p>\n<p>Around 320 million shares are expected to become eligible on September 24, followed by another roughly 320 million shares on October 9 and October 24.<\/p>\n<p>The largest potential release is expected two full trading days after SpaceX reports third-quarter results, which are expected in late October or early November. <\/p>\n<p>Up to 1.3 billion shares, or roughly 28% of the relevant share pool, could become sellable at that point.<\/p>\n<p>December 8 marks the 180-day expiration, when the remaining non-Musk insider float becomes eligible.<\/p>\n<p>By the end of 2026, roughly 4.9 billion SpaceX shares are expected to have become available for trading.<\/p>\n<p>That creates a continuing supply overhang even as the stock has recovered from its August low, giving early investors more opportunities to realize gains.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Starship adds another near-term catalyst<\/h2>\n<p>Investors are also looking ahead to SpaceX\u2019s next major Starship test.<\/p>\n<p>SpaceX said last week that it is targeting Starship Flight 14 <a href=\"https:\/\/invezz.com\/news\/2026\/09\/17\/spacex-stock-gains-even-as-starship-flight-14-gets-new-launch-date\/\">for as early as September 28<\/a>, pending regulatory approval.<\/p>\n<p>The company had previously targeted September 22 for the launch from its Starbase facility in Texas.<\/p>\n<p>The mission has a 75-minute launch window beginning at 8:15 a.m. ET, according to SpaceX\u2019s mission briefing page.<\/p>\n<p>Flight 14 is expected to be the first revenue-generating Starship mission. <\/p>\n<p>CFO Bret Johnsen described it as such at a recent Goldman Sachs conference.<\/p>\n<p>The spacecraft is expected to carry and deploy 26 Starlink Version 3 satellites, supporting an upgrade of SpaceX\u2019s satellite constellation.<\/p>\n<p>The mission is important to the company\u2019s longer-term investment case because much of SpaceX\u2019s growth potential depends on turning Starship into a reusable, high-frequency launch system.<\/p>\n<p>Pivotal Research Group analyst Jeffrey Wlodarczak has tied his $220 price target to that assumption.<\/p>\n<p>His valuation case assumes Starship vehicles can complete 20 to 50 flights, require relatively low refurbishment costs and achieve rapid turnaround times.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/invezz.com\/news\/2026\/09\/21\/why-spacex-stock-is-up-over-2-on-monday\/\">Why SpaceX stock is up over 2% on Monday<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/invezz.com\">Invezz<\/a><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>SpaceX (SPCX) stock rose in early trading Monday as its weighting in the Nasdaq-100 more than doubled in the index\u2019s quarterly rebalance.Shares were up around 2% near $156, extending the stock\u2019s recovery as the company moves into a period of heavier index exposure and several potential catalysts.SpaceX will account for 2.82% of the Nasdaq-100 when&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5744,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5743","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stock"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/tradertideinsights.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5743","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/tradertideinsights.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/tradertideinsights.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tradertideinsights.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tradertideinsights.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5743"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/tradertideinsights.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5743\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tradertideinsights.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/5744"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/tradertideinsights.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5743"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tradertideinsights.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5743"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tradertideinsights.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5743"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}